Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Freiburg
26.1%
Draw
26.6%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Freiburg
vs
1.19
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).