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28 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Leyton Orient
24.8%
Draw
51.9%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Leyton Orient

vs
1.44

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).