Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Swindon
22.6%
Draw
27.5%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Swindon
vs
1.24
Salford
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).