Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Ajaccio
19.6%
Draw
66.7%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Ajaccio
vs
1.89
Lorient
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.5%
0-0
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).