Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Sarpsborg 08
24.8%
Draw
25.1%
Fredrikstad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.05
Fredrikstad
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).