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28 Sept 2020 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Antalyaspor
37.5%
Draw
32.1%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Antalyaspor

vs
1.03

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
16.7%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).