Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Lille
26.0%
Draw
17.9%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Lille
vs
0.66
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
2-0
12.6%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
0-2
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).