Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Malaga
20.5%
Draw
16.5%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Malaga
vs
0.92
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).