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AHT: 01CSV

22 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.8%
Kaiserslautern
29.0%
Draw
41.3%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.39

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).