Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Alloa
25.7%
Draw
49.2%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Alloa
vs
1.89
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).