Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
18.3%
Draw
71.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.41
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.0%
1-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).