Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.1%
Moreirense
21.0%
Draw
14.9%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Moreirense
vs
0.75
Boavista
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).