Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.6%
Almeria
13.9%
Draw
8.5%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Almeria
vs
0.85
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.549.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
4-0
6.6%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
5-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).