Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Cheltenham
21.6%
Draw
44.7%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Cheltenham
vs
1.87
Leicester
Markets
BTTS67.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
2-0
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).