Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Rennes
22.6%
Draw
48.1%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Rennes
vs
1.69
Lens
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).