Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Sociedad
21.7%
Draw
38.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Sociedad
vs
1.78
Almeria
Markets
BTTS69.8%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
1-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-2
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).