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DHT: 11CSV

13 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.6%
Boreham Wood
21.3%
Draw
18.1%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.20

Boreham Wood

vs
1.14

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).