Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Sarpsborg 08
23.5%
Draw
32.1%
HamKam
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.39
HamKam
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-0
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).