Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Kasımpaşa
25.7%
Draw
17.9%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Kasımpaşa
vs
1.14
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
3-0
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).