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14 Feb 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.7%
Reading
28.1%
Draw
21.2%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Reading

vs
0.89

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).