Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.5%
Ipswich
12.2%
Draw
4.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Ipswich
vs
0.53
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
3-0
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
4-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
5.8%
5-0
5.0%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).