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AHT: 02CSV

21 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Gillingham
25.2%
Draw
34.7%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Gillingham

vs
1.16

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).