Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Charlton
20.6%
Draw
15.0%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Charlton
vs
0.71
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).