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14 Dec 2019 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.9%
Genk
16.4%
Draw
11.7%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

2.66

Genk

vs
1.02

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
1-1
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
0-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).