Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Montpellier
27.4%
Draw
34.5%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Montpellier
vs
1.04
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).