Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
Greuther Furth
23.0%
Draw
55.2%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Greuther Furth
vs
2.06
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).