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10 Mar 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.9%
Fenerbahce
11.3%
Draw
3.8%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

3.37

Fenerbahce

vs
0.76

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.559.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
4-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-0
5.9%
1-1
5.1%
5-1
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
3-2
3.0%
0-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).