Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Salzburg
24.7%
Draw
18.4%
Ried
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Salzburg
vs
0.91
Ried
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).