Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.3%
Ipswich
17.7%
Draw
9.1%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Ipswich
vs
0.74
Reading
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
10.0%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
5-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).