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HHT: 21CSV

13 May 2023 · 15:15

Genoa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.5%
Frosinone
30.7%
Draw
36.8%
Genoa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Frosinone

vs
1.21

Genoa

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).