Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
Burnley
26.1%
Draw
6.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Burnley
vs
0.29
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS20.1%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.526.4%
Over 3.510.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
24.6%
2-0
18.7%
0-0
17.4%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
1-2
1.1%
5-0
1.0%
4-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).