Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.7%
Alloa
15.2%
Draw
76.1%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Alloa
vs
2.96
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.575.5%
Over 3.555.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
1-1
6.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-4
6.1%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-5
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).