Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Brentford
30.7%
Draw
32.3%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Brentford
vs
1.08
Millwall
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).