⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

14 Aug 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
41.4%
Nott'm Forest
30.1%
Draw
28.5%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Nott'm Forest

vs
1.12

West Ham

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).