Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
27.6%
Draw
49.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.57
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).