Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Carrarese
33.2%
Draw
23.0%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Carrarese
vs
0.77
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.8%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).