Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.3%
Hoffenheim
10.9%
Draw
4.8%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
3.15
Hoffenheim
vs
0.70
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.0%
Over 3.553.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
4-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-0
5.5%
1-1
5.0%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).