Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Walsall
29.2%
Draw
39.6%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Walsall
vs
1.10
Northampton
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).