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AHT: 01CSV

05 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.9%
Sheffield Weds
31.4%
Draw
32.8%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Sheffield Weds

vs
1.05

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).