Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Dresden
25.6%
Draw
21.6%
Wehen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Dresden
vs
1.06
Wehen
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).