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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.3%
Bristol City
44.2%
Draw
15.5%
Atherton Laburnum Rovers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Bristol City

vs
0.32

Atherton Laburnum Rovers

Markets

BTTS13.5%
Over 0.564.1%
Over 1.526.8%
Over 2.58.3%
Over 3.52.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
35.9%
1-0
25.4%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-0
2.0%
0-2
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
2-2
0.5%
4-0
0.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).