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21 Dec 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.2%
PAOK
25.0%
Draw
15.8%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

PAOK

vs
0.81

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).