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15 Feb 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.4%
Monza
23.9%
Draw
11.7%
Juve Stabia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Monza

vs
0.65

Juve Stabia

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
11.0%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).