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DHT: 12CSV

22 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.2%
Wealdstone
25.9%
Draw
29.9%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Wealdstone

vs
1.33

Dorking

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).