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HHT: 40CSV

05 Mar 2023 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.0%
PAOK
13.0%
Draw
4.0%
Ionikos

Expected Goals (xG)

2.64

PAOK

vs
0.47

Ionikos

Markets

BTTS35.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.6%
3-0
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
1-1
6.1%
0-0
5.0%
5-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).