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30 Aug 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.0%
Raków Częstochowa
28.6%
Draw
20.4%
Piast Gliwice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.84

Piast Gliwice

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).