Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Castellon
20.7%
Draw
18.0%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Castellon
vs
1.00
Logrones
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).