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DHT: 00CSV

17 Apr 2023 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.0%
Vizela
24.4%
Draw
24.6%
Boavista

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Vizela

vs
0.99

Boavista

Markets

BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).