Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Newport County
25.2%
Draw
46.8%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Newport County
vs
1.46
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).