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AHT: 11

22 Nov 2025 · 11:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.7%
Karpaty
31.7%
Draw
51.5%
Kharkiv

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Karpaty

vs
1.19

Kharkiv

Markets

BTTS29.8%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.552.3%
Over 2.525.4%
Over 3.59.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.6%
0-0
17.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).